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AFP/File – File photo shows the sun shining through the door of a Mayan temple in the Mexican state of Yucatan. …
By TIM PADGETT WITH DOLLY MASCAREÑAS / MEXICO CITY Tim Padgett With Dolly MascareÑas / Mexico City – Thu Dec 31, 5:40 am ET
Forget 2012. As far as many Mexicans are concerned, the ancient Mayas had been getting generous: the sky’s really going to fall subsequent year. Why? Since it is 2010, Mexico’s bicentennial, and Mexican history has an eerie way of repeating itself. Mexico’s 1910 centennial, following all, saw the start of the bloody, decade-long Mexican Revolution, which killed a lot more than a million individuals. And that cataclysm was precisely a century soon after the commence of Mexico’s bloody, decade-lengthy War of Independence in 1810.

You get the picture. As a result, there’s been no shortage of talk lately about feasible unrest, specifically in the form of armed rebel groups, erupting south of the border in 2010. But is there really a basis for concern? None as apparent as the well-liked grievances that existed in 1809 or 1909. But this is still Mexico and whilst Spanish colonizers no longer oppress the country, and dictators like Porfirio Diaz are not brutalizing campesinos, the country nonetheless is reeling from the worst criminal violence in its history and one of its hardest economic slumps. “We are quite near a social crisis,” JosÉ Narro, the director of the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM) in Mexico City, said recently. “The conditions are there.” (Will the planet finish in 2012? What the Mayan prophecy is and how the movies see it.)

Mexican insurrections typically do coincide with essential dates. Most lately, Zapatista guerrillas in the poor southern state of Chiapas started a revolt on Jan. 1, 1994, the day the North American Trade Agreement (NAFTA) took impact. A huge fear now is that Mexico’s drug cartels, responsible for almost 15,000 killings in the past decade, are lending their resources and firepower to emerging guerrilla groups. If so, their strategy may be to sow bicentennial terror and turn Mexicans against President Felipe CalderÓn’s drug-war offensive. This past fall authorities say they seized an arsenal of huge guns and grenades allegedly getting sent from the Zetas, a vicious drug gang, to JosÉ Manuel Hernandez, a purported leader of the rebel group called the Popular Revolutionary Army (EPR). The EPR in current years has claimed responsibility for attacks on Mexican oil infrastructure, including the bombing of six pipelines in 2007. (Hernandez denies the charges.) (See how Mexico took down a major drug lord and why it may possibly not make considerably of a difference.)

At the exact same time, political observers like Denise Maerker, a prominent columnist for the Mexico City every day El Universal, fear that provincial governments in locations like Chiapas, where the weapons had been found, are using 2010 fears as a pretext for cracking down on social activists. “They’re drawing questionable links among advocates for the poor and armed groups,” says Maerker, who adds there’s small evidence that Hernandez is an EPR boss. (See images from Ciudad Juarez, the most hazardous city in the Americas.)

Either way, the drug cartels have already shown they’re willing to use high-profile national celebrations as a stage for narco-terror. Last year, during Independence Day festivities in drug-infested Michoacan state, narcos killed seven individuals with fragmentation-grenade blasts. Mexicans had been rattled once again in September when bombs went off at 3 Mexico City banks and an additional at a auto dealership. No one was injured, but to many chilangos, or capital residents, the explosions seemed a warning of things to come.

Aside from inflated drug and guerrilla violence, another specter is unrest resulting from Mexico’s deflated economy. Given its enormous reliance on the U.S. market place – and on remittances from Mexican workers there, which have declined sharply this year – the global recession has hit Mexico specially hard. Its GDP, in fact, will contract much more than five% in 2009, exacerbating unemployment as nicely as Mexico’s chronic poverty. A report this year by the Colegio de Mexico, 1 of the country’s leading universities, warned, “A national social explosion is knocking at the door.” Stated top Roman Catholic Bishop Gustavo Rodriguez, “We can’t separate the economic crisis from the violence and criminal crisis that we live day by day.”

But even though many fear the bicentennial year could galvanize that discontent, particularly with the symbolic hype surrounding 1810 and 1910, CalderÓn insists the country will break the ominous century-cycle next year and make 2010 “a moment of peaceful transformation.” Last month, he predicted next year will see “Mexico on a different trajectory toward development and progress.” CalderÓn tried to get the ball rolling this month with a main political reform proposal that would enable re-election for Mexican office holders like mayors and legislators, a change he insists will give voters much more

Answer by nick
border patrol lol jkjk